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A well-known option expert and originator of the ODDS option trading methodology; Don Fishback is a trusted name in the trading market. ODDS option trading methodology explains the art of option analysis based on price volatility and the cause and effect theory. ODDS methodology considers the option-pricing model to value options.

A logical explanation of the ODDS: Prices portray a normal distribution in the random financial market. The market price changes within a short span of time. Volatility is the likelihood of the significant changes in the prices and is therefore directly related. In this way, the most probable changes in the range of the future prices are determined based on the recent volatility in prices.

Higher the volatility and higher is the expected change in the future prices. This further leads to wider cones with the passage of time. Cones depict the expected range of prices presuming a 68.26% probability equivalent to a standard deviation. You can have more control over the width of cones as higher percentages lead to wider cones. The investors can choose from long and short positions described in ODDS option trading methodology by Don Fishback. If you presume that, the volatility will rise then you can opt for a wide cone security with long or short positions. Similarly, a narrow cone security can be considered if the volatility is expected to drop.

However, it is not necessary that you always make the right move and it is here when the ODDS theory needs to be implemented. The option traders have successfully implemented the best strategy related to stocks using the ODDS option trading methodology. Don Fishback himself suggests that option traders tend to acquire options with strikes that are within the cones and sell those that are outside the cones.

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